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Denver real estate,Real Estate,Second Homes,Second Homes in Colorado

January 30, 2012

Real Estate Still a Buyer’s Market

And will continue to be until:

1. Buyers see the economic picture improving,

2. Home prices start to inch upward,

3. Unemployment drops substantially.

On the other hand, some forecasts and surveys suggest better times for the housing market this year:

The number of improving housing markets rose to 76 in January, up from 41 in December.

But most forecasters think home prices will remain flat in 2012.

While now still may not be the perfect time to sell a home, it may be time for home sellers to get their places ready for a sale next year.

Some markets are already seeing improvement; parts of Florida, Washington, D.C., Denver, Colorado.

But other markets—including Chicago, Atlanta, Detroit and Las Vegas—continue to be on a “downward slide,” according to a December report from Realtor.com.

Some markets are finally nearing the point where people who don’t need to sell for financial reasons are starting to consider a move for lifestyle-related reasons.

The good news for them: Inventory plunged to a 6.2-month supply in December, from a 12.4 month supply in July 2010, according to the National Association of Realtors. That means there are fewer sellers competing for buyers.

Denver real estate,Real Estate,Second Homes,Second Homes in Colorado

January 23, 2012

The Latest “Fluff” from the National Association of Realtors

The latest figures from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) show that 89 percent of buyers purchased their home with the help of a real estate or broker. This is a sharp increase from a decade ago in 2001, when only 69 percent of buyers enlisted the help of an agent or broker.

The NAR will tell you that is because:

1. Agents are licensed professionals (so are medical marijuana dispensary owners)

2. They also have access to a wide range of properties (so does an 8 year old with internet connection)

3. An agent can help “guide you to those (properties) that are the best fit for you – kind of like a used car salesman telling you what kind of car is best for you.

4. An agent can “set up showings, drive you to appointments if needed, and help you handle the intricacies of negotiations.”

Bull Chips.

Smart people hire the smartest agent they can find. They figure out a vetting process and they interview at least 3 agents. And if their vetting process is valid, they get what they need – which is an agent with the market knowledge, negotiation skills and experience to save them money.

It’s that simple.

Denver real estate,Real Estate

January 17, 2012

Turning Forclosures into Rentals

Federal officials hope to launch a pilot program in early 2012 to convert government-owned foreclosures into rental properties.

The program, which was cited by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke last week as one way to address the housing crisis, would sell foreclosed homes now owned by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to investors in bulk. The properties would then be converted into rentals.

In addition to getting the properties off the government’s books, officials are hoping putting the homes back into productive use will stabilize neighborhoods and housing values. Also, it is looking to expand the supply of rentals, which are increasingly in demand.

The agency is not releasing details on how the rental program would work, instead saying it is “proceeding prudently but with a sense of urgency to lay the groundwork for the development of good initial transactions in early 2012.”

Until now, most foreclosed homes have been sold individually because investors have demanded bigger discounts to buy large numbers of properties.

There are close to 2 million homes in the late stages of delinquency, according to Lender Processing Services. Since foreclosed properties often sell below market value, they can wreak havoc on home prices.

New York Fed President William Dudley gave a speech that touched on a wide range of housing policies — including principal reduction and mortgage refinancing — that he believes will boost the economy.

The Fed has already tried to boost real estate sales by pushing mortgage rates down to record lows through massive bond-buying programs.

But the renewed push for housing help indicates that the Fed, which has basically run out of monetary policy ammunition to revive the real estate market, is urging the federal government to ramp up its efforts.

“The Federal Reserve is signaling in even stronger terms the need for the government to do more to help housing,” said Jaret Seiberg, a policy analyst with the Washington Research Group.

CNN Money

Denver real estate,Real Estate

January 9, 2012

Hope Your Town is not Listed Here…

The top 10 U.S. metro areas with the greatest year-over-year median home-value declines, by percentage, from October 2010 to October 2011, were conspicuously clustered in two regions – the southeast and far West – according to data from online real estate site Zillow.

The 10 metro areas, clumped in the Southeast and the far West, declined an average of 13.4 percent, from No. 1 Gainesville, Fla.’s 17.2 percent drop to an 11.8 percent decline for No. 10 Reno, Nev.

The chart-topping Gainesville, Fla., metro area’s 17.2 percent decline settled the area’s median home value to $111,300.

Just 40 miles away, the Ocala, Fla., metro area, No. 7 on the top 10 list, showed a 12.7 percent decline in median home value, to $85,200. Nearby, Atlanta and Mobile, Ala., rounded out the Southeast metros on the list at No. 2 and No. 5, respectively.

The far West portion of the top 10 features six metros in a Pacific-leaning band that curves from No. 3 Medford, Ore., in the Northwest to No. 6 Tucson, Arizona.

The Mobile, Ala., metro area, at No. 5, has the lowest median home value on the list at $78,200, and is counterbalanced by No. 9 Santa Barbara, Calif.’s highest median home value of $371,200. After Santa Barbara, Calif., the next highest median home value on the list takes a steep drop to No. 4 Chico, Calif., metro area’s $169,300.

Denver real estate,Real Estate

December 27, 2011

Lurking in the Shadows

The number of distressed properties not currently listed for sale on multiple listing services (MLSs) stood at 1.6 million as of October 2011, according to CoreLogic.

For every two homes available for sale, there is one home in the “shadows.”

CoreLogic estimates the current stock of properties in the shadow inventory, also known as pending supply, by calculating the number of distressed properties not currently listed on MLSs that are seriously delinquent (90 days or more), in foreclosure, and real estate owned (REO) by lenders.

Of the 1.6 million properties currently in the shadow inventory, 770,000 units are seriously delinquent, 430,000 are in foreclosure, and 370,000 are REO.

Despite 3 million distressed sales since January 2009, a period when home prices were declining at their fastest rate, the shadow inventory in October 2011 is at the same level as January 2009.

Growth in the shadow supply, though, has been reined in by the fact that the flow of new seriously delinquent loans into the shadow inventory has been offset by a roughly equal flow of distressed REO and short sale transactions.

Currently, Florida, California, and Illinois account for more than a third of the shadow inventory. The top six states, which would also include New York, Texas, and New Jersey, are home to half of the shadow inventory.

Denver real estate,Real Estate,Second Homes,Second Homes in Colorado

September 13, 2011

Fed Blames Housing Market for Economic Woes

Wednesday, September 7, 2011 — The “severely out of balance” housing market is greatly hampering the nation’s economic recovery, and solving the supply-and-demand issues in the housing market needs to be an “immediate priority,” Elizabeth Duke, member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve, said late last week to the Federal Reserve Board Policy Forum during a speech, “The Housing Market Going Forward: Lessons Learned from the Recent Crisis.”

Duke said that addressing the swelling inventories of REOs is critical for helping to rebalance the housing market. An inventory of at least 1 million REOs this year as well as 2012 and 2013 is expected to pass through the market, and “REO properties are weighing heavily on the market for owner-occupied house” and bringing overall home prices down, Duke said.

Duke said that converting a portion of residential REOs to rental units may be one reasonable option for lenders to handle the big wave of foreclosures.

“Such conversions might also be in the best interests of lien holders and guarantors if recoveries from renting out properties exceed those from outright sales,” she said. “Over time, as financing conditions ease and the number of REO properties to be sold declines, the share of properties sold to owner-occupants and sold to investors for rental will adjust commensurately.”

Uncategorized

June 29, 2011

Denver 2nd lowest for housing declines

The Denver-area’s housing market fell 14.3 percent from its “peak to trough,” less than half of the overall decline for the 20 cities tracked in the closely watched S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices released today.

As previously reported by InsideRealEstateNews, the Denver market statistic area narrowly avoided hitting a double dip in housing prices in March, which was the fate of 12 of the 20 cities tracked by Case-Shiller.

However, the report also shows that homes in the 20 cities, overall lost an average of 33.1 percent from their peaks to low-point.  Only Dallas, with an 11.2 percent decline from the peak to the bottom, showed less of a drop than Denver. In March, Denver was down 14.1 percent from its peak, while Dallas was down 10.7 percent.

Denver peak heading to 5-year anniversary

Denver hit its peak in August 2006, and hit the trough in February 2009. Other cities peaked in 2005, 2006 and 2007.

And its peak, Denver was up 40.3 percent from January 2000. By contrast, Las Vegas was up 134.8 percent and Phoenix was up 127.4 percent. Miami showed the largest gain, rising by 180.9 percent at its peak, set in December 2006.

But, as they say, the bigger they are, the harder they fall.

Miami is down 51.1 percent from its peak, Las Vegas is down 58.6 percent, and Phoenix is down 55.9 percent from its peak.

“Denver’s boom wasn’t as big, and its bust wasn’t as painful,” said Jeff Thredgold, corporate economist for Vectra Bank Colorado. “Denver did not participate in the boom of 2006 and 2007, like a lot of other markets, so it is not having the substantial declines as other markets. Denver is not correcting as much. Denver is not as much pain as other housing markets. In Las Vegas, for example, 75 percent of the homes are under water. That is real pain.”

Denver real estate,Real Estate

April 30, 2011

Home prices falling in most major US cities

Home prices are falling in most major U.S. cities, and at least 10 major markets are at their lowest point since the housing bubble burst.

The Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller 20-city index shows price declines in 19 cities from January to February. The index fell for the seventh straight month. Prices fell at a faster rate in 11 markets in February compared with the previous month.

High unemployment, stricter lending rules and fears that prices will fall further are among the reasons why few people are buying and selling homes. A record number of foreclosures are forcing down home prices in most metro areas, and prices are expected to keep falling through this year.

“There is evidence that potential sellers are holding their properties off the market, waiting for housing prices to stop falling,” said Bricklin Dwyer, an analyst at BNP Paribas.

Detroit was the only market to show a monthly gain, although the Motor City is one of five cities where home prices are now below their January 2000 levels.

Prices in Atlanta, Charlotte, Chicago, Las Vegas, Miami, New York, Phoenix, Portland, Ore., Seattle and Tampa are all at their lowest point since 2006 or 2007, at the height of the housing boom. The cities with the steepest declines from January were Minneapolis, San Francisco, Chicago and Miami.

In many depressed markets, a significant percentage of buyers are really investors and private equity firms looking to cash in on cheap real estate.

The housing sector is struggling even while much of the economy is recovering slowly but steadily. Some of the worst declines in home prices are in cities hit hardest by unemployment and foreclosures.

Foreclosures are expected to rise to 1.2 million this year as many banks revisit thousands of foreclosure cases, spurred into action by federal regulators who have ordered top-to-bottom reviews of how foreclosures were carried out over the past two years.

“It’s hard to sell when buyers have the leverage and foreclosures continue to create a gap between distressed sale prices and non-distressed sale prices,” said Jonathan Basile, an economist at Credit Suisse Securities. More than 90 percent of homeowners say it’s a bad time to sell their home, according to the Reuters/University of Michigan Survey of Consumers.

The Case-Shiller index measures sales of select homes in those cities compared to January 2000. For each of the 20 metro areas it studies, the index provides an updated three-month moving average price. By measuring the sales price of the same homes over time, the index attempts to gauge true market values.

Denver real estate,Real Estate

April 12, 2011

Looking for the Bottom

Despite the fact that rents are now higher in many cities than monthly mortgage payments, the latest report on the health of the housing market offers a dismal picture, showing little sign that home prices are hitting bottom. Prices in January fell 3.1% compared with the same month during the previous year, according to Standard & Poor’s Case-Shiller Index. The index of 20 U.S. cities fell to 140, just a point above its spring 2008 low in the wake of the financial meltdown.

In many cities across America, home affordability has returned to pre-bubble levels, making real estate look like a bargain. But aside from investors snatching up properties at lower prices, few people are actually buying amid high unemployment and tighter lending standards. In fact, in cities outside major metros with high foreclosure rates, sellers will likely cut their asking price.

On average, U.S. home sellers will reduce their list prices after about 2.5 months, or 79 days on the market, by 8%, according to a new report by real estate website Trulia.com. After making one reduction, 35% of these sellers will make a second. Sellers in America’s 50 largest cities have been more aggressive and quicker to make the first price reduction than the rest of the country.

Denver real estate,Real Estate,Second Homes,Second Homes in Colorado

April 2, 2011

NAR: Second Home Market Holds Steady in 2010

Cash buyers drive sales

By Inman News, Wednesday, March 30, 2011.

The share of homebuyers purchasing second homes remained steady in 2010 compared to the year before, though overall sales volume declined somewhat, according to an annual report from the National Association of Realtors.

NAR’s 2011 Investment and Vacation Home Buyers Survey includes 1,895 responses from households who bought residential real estate in 2010. The association conducted the survey in March 2011 and controlled for age and income.

The survey found that second-home purchases declined at the same rate as primary home purchases in 2010, both dropping 5.6 percent. Investment properties saw the bulk of that decline, falling 7.8 percent, compared to a 1.8 percent decline for vacation homes.

The percentages of investment purchases and vacation-home purchases to overall purchases remained the same as in 2009, at 17 percent and 10 percent, respectively.